Aviation is often visualized as a system that defies prediction. Materially undesired events (MUE) occur regularly and in a seemingly random manner. But our next speaker is here to tell you that there's a method to this madness. There is a difference between chaos and disorder. Chaos follows a pattern, and through a study of the chaos theory, coupled with management of entropy (the scientific concept that allows for the measurement of disorder) and some lessons from evolutionary biology, we can not only avoid an MUE, but predict one.